Systemic Risk in a Changing Climate: Understanding Cascading Impacts Across Infrastructure and Supply Chains

Risk in contemporary societies is increasingly shaped by interdependencies between systems. A disruption to one part of a system can propagate far beyond the original event, with consequences that are difficult to anticipate and hard to manage. This seminar discusses how such risks can be understood and assessed from a systemic perspective. Drawing on my research on climate shocks, critical infrastructure and supply-chain disruption, I will introduce how transport and power systems support wider socio-economic activity, how their value can be measured beyond asset-level costs, and how this evidence can inform climate adaptation. The talk will also reflect on the methodological challenges of tracing cascading impacts, and the potential role of AI in supporting more integrated and scalable risk assessment.