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Probability versus Prompting: Language Model Performance on Dependencies beyond English

Lee, S., & Wang, S. (2026). Probability versus Prompting: Language Model Performance on Dependencies beyond English. Studies in Linguistics, 79, 205-221.
 
DOI:  https://doi.org/10.17002/sil..79.202604.207

 

Abstract

Recent work on Tranformer-based language models (LMs) has raised a methodological debate over how to best evaluate LMs’ linguistic knowledge: through direct probability-based measures of token likelihood or through prompt-based interactions that elicit explicit responses. While prompting has become increasingly popular, its reliability as a diagnostic tool for linguistic competence remains unclear. Moreover, most prior evaluations have focused on English, leaving open questions about cross-linguistic generalizability. This paper compares probability-based and prompt-based evaluation methods in two typologically distinct languages, Hindi and Korean, targeting politeness dependencies that involve long-distance coherence. Using controlled minimal pairs, we assess models of different scales. Our results show a clear advantage for probability-based evaluation. Notably, larger prompt-based models do not outperform smaller probability-accessible models, suggesting that model scale or training data does not necessarily compensate for methodological limitations in evaluation. Our findings suggest that probability-based methods provide a more accurate and efficient window into LMs’ linguistic representations than prompt-based approaches. This study further underscores the importance of evaluation methodology in cross-linguistic LM research and calls for the need to move beyond English-centered linguistic assessments.

 

Keywords

language models, probability, prompting, long-distance dependency, politeness








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